Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 2.354424 2.714359 3.116320 3.599470 4.165748 4.809983 5.600662
2025-04-06 1.814623 2.290679 2.877515 3.658528 4.677340 5.970249 7.749564
2025-04-13 1.477314 1.978490 2.637693 3.576697 4.893617 6.695132 9.381041
2025-04-20 1.321859 1.858999 2.604644 3.729207 5.406498 7.853941 11.766457
2025-04-27 1.160701 1.699900 2.482797 3.721647 5.668513 8.670881 13.769773
2025-05-04 1.066341 1.620283 2.458218 3.844036 6.129944 9.842297 16.517758
2025-05-11 0.965766 1.515637 2.377961 3.861106 6.415771 10.762471 18.995650
2025-05-18 0.881047 1.424010 2.304071 3.873344 6.687057 11.687475 21.634437
2025-05-25 0.786534 1.304494 2.168743 3.759807 6.716331 12.179448 23.538522
2025-06-01 0.733328 1.247967 2.131960 3.812479 7.050146 13.275049 26.819415
2025-06-08 0.692923 1.208676 2.119653 3.906088 7.470934 14.596441 30.810802
2025-06-15 0.644436 1.149454 2.064316 3.909843 7.713088 15.592208 34.282968
2025-06-22 0.580737 1.062108 1.959320 3.828133 7.823101 16.445833 37.906715
2025-06-29 0.539224 1.013139 1.924040 3.888531 8.259647 18.129826 44.040878
2025-07-06 0.487400 0.937437 1.825896 3.801204 8.354119 19.054389 48.516293
2025-07-13 0.466524 0.920431 1.843105 3.964229 9.047481 21.537844 57.819074
2025-07-20 0.432183 0.871630 1.787794 3.956147 9.332898 23.072993 64.929441
2025-07-27 0.413052 0.852317 1.792598 4.087009 9.984774 25.697230 76.064114
2025-08-03 0.386949 0.814907 1.752863 4.105263 10.351936 27.636373 85.693139
2025-08-10 0.363050 0.779621 1.713501 4.118349 10.708382 29.627647 96.157223
2025-08-17 0.332585 0.726254 1.626136 3.996945 10.673664 30.469005 102.945184
2025-08-24 0.316159 0.703392 1.608036 4.053264 11.155104 32.993982 116.724567
2025-08-31 0.303560 0.688113 1.606354 4.153367 11.785702 36.146796 134.082616